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2014 market performance: India vs global peers
After a massive sell-off in 2013, Indian
stock markets were on fire this year, touching new highs. The stock markets,
which were lacklustre in the beginning of 2014, delivered big gains as the year
drew to a close. Check out the numbers – the BSE Sensex gained about 30% until
the last week of December. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) pumped close
to $16 billion (Rs 96,573 crore) into equities and $26.4 billion (Rs 2.6 lakh
crore) in the debt markets. This pushed the total FII inflows to cross the
$42-billion mark. However, India is not alone. China’s stock markets overtook
India as the best performer in Asia for 2014. Even the US stock market indices
reached record high levels. So, how does India stack up against its global
peers?
Here is a look: India:
The Indian equity markets were buoyed by
the hope that the Narendra Modi government would get the economy back on track.
Recent reforms in the labour, coal and insurance sectors boosted investor
sentiment. The BSE Sensex rose a whopping 30% this year, its sharpest gain
in five years. Mid- and
small-cap indices have done much better, with 50% and 70% gains, respectively.
Going forward, India is expected to continue the good show in
2015.
US:
The US economy is witnessing a recovery
after the recession that followed the 2008 financial crisis. The dollar is
looking up. The Federal Reserve also ended its bond-buying programme in October.
These events are reflected in the stock market performance as well. The Dow
Jones reached an all-time high of 18,053.71 points in December. It is up 8.8%
this year.
AChina:
China's benchmark
Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSE) surged over 54% in
2014 against BSE Sensex's rise of 31% in the period. This month, the
Shanghai index surpassed 3,100 points — the highest level in nearly five years.
However, the economy has been grappling with falling real estate prices and weak
industrial activity. Therefore, analysts are of the opinion that Chinese equity
performance will not be sustainable going forward. India, in contrast, seems to
be in a better position.
Russia:
Russia has been one of the worst performing markets in 2014. Falling
oil prices and western sanctions over Ukraine continue to have an adverse impact
on the economy. Russia’s currency, Rouble, lost 42% this
year, the most in the world, according to Bloomberg. The Russian stock
markets (MICEX) also posted a drop of 7.5% in 2014.Brazil:
The Brazil Stock Market (BOVESPA) has been
the most volatile market this year. Brazil witnessed two bear markets and a 38% surge in between
in 2014, according to a Bloomberg report. The BRIC nation slipped into recession
in the first-half of this year. But, it entered a bull phase in May, amid
impending presidential elections as investors speculated that president
Dilma Rousseff would be voted out and a new government
would usher in economic reforms. However, she was voted again and the gains
started to reverse from September.
Thanks and Click >2014-market-performance--india-vs-global-peers
Corporate Sector 2014: Underperformers of the year
The year 2014 may have been a
good year for the market or the economy but not every sector benefited. Some
industries ended up being the losers.
Here is a look at which sectors did not performed well this
year:
Metals and mining: The mining industry has been
under the weather for a while since the government and courts banned mining of
different minerals across states. This year, the industry received the biggest
blow after the Supreme Court cancelled over 200 coal mines allotted between 1993
and 2011. Stocks of metals and mining companies tanked, especially Jindal Steel
and Power. The government is now expected to auction these coal blocks again.
The move also affects power companies, which depend on the mineral for
production of electricity.
Manufacturing: The manufacturing industry has
been the worst affected by the slowdown. Productivity has been remained low for
months together. As a result, its contribution to the Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) – a measure of the economy – fell to 15%. The new Narendra Modi-led
government has been emphasising on the manufacturing sector. It has also tried
to attract foreign investment in the sector. However, problems still remain with
respect to ease of clearances and getting licenses. To address some of these
issues, the government launched the Make in India programme. Clearances for
proposals have picked up pace in the second half of the year, according to a
Business Today report. The effects of these may be seen in the coming year.
Realty: The BSE Realty index has been one of the worst performing of the
sectoral indices. This reflects the underlying state of the sector. Demand for
properties remained poor, both in the residential and commercial segments. The
inventory of unsold properties rose. As a result, developers also launched fewer
projects this year. At the same time, property developers remained under high
debt burden. The RBI too held interest rates steady to control inflation. High
interest rates discourage home buyers, as their loan costs increase. However,
there were some positive developments like the nod for Real Estate Investment
Trusts (REITs) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the sector. Together,
these two measures could help ease financial burden on developers.
FMCG: The consumer goods industry too faced a poor demand environment
this year. A high growth in prices, together with a slowdown in the economy,
causes a cut in consumer spending. As a result, growth of the firms too slowed.
As a result, the BSE FMCG index rose about 18% this year, underperforming the
Sensex, which is up 30% for the year. However, 2015 could be a better year, as
inflation has eased now to comfortable levels. So, consumer spending could
revive in 2015.
Aviation: It has been a mixed year for the Indian aviation sector. On one
hand, two new airlines were launched in the country. On the other hand, another
existing airline – SpiceJet – nearly shut down like Kingfisher Airlines. The
year also saw a severe price war amongst the airlines to gather market share and
attract customers. This, however, affected profitability of airlines, most of
which are loss-making units. Moreover, the US Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA) downgraded Indian aviation’s safety rating a notch below
the top category.
Pharma: It has not been an easy year for the Indian pharma industry.
Foreign regulators fined companies working abroad for millions of dollars. Not
just fines, the US drug regulator also banned import of medicines from Ranbaxy’s
India-based factories. Other companies too faced fines for similar reasons in US
and Europe. Companies faced trouble back home too; the Indian government
announced rules to control the pricing of essential drugs, a move that could
affect profit margins. However, woes aside, the industry saw some big mergers
and acquisitions this year, starting with the Sun Pharma-Ranbaxy deal worth over
$4 billion. Pharma cos also announced new investment plans in various
subsidiaries. Companies also benefited from the recovery in the US market – the
largest for pharma companies in the world.
Thanks and Click >corporate-sector-2014--underperformers-of-the-year
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